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V-Lab

AEX-Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

10.28%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

10.83%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

12.56%

increased by 1.89%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AEX-Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0314
2.76***
αARCH0.2335
14.20***
βGARCH0.7470
64.86***

0.981

Persistence

35d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0314
2.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2335
14.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7470
64.86***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

35 days