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EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

14.13%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Week

14.59%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

16.09%

increased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 1998 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.

μ

MEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0434
2.45**
αARCH0.2375
12.18***
βGARCH0.7416
59.26***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0434
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2375
12.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7416
59.26***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days