V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
16.43%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
16.57%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Month
17.03%
increased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0311 | 13.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0114 | 4.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8972 | 451.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1415 | 23.65*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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