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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026

1 Day

12.01%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

12.40%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

13.67%

increased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0310
13.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0115
4.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8970
451.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1418
23.65***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days