V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026
1 Day
12.01%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
12.40%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
13.67%
increased by 1.36%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0310 | 13.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0115 | 4.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8970 | 451.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1418 | 23.65*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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