V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.58%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
12.93%
decreased by 0.00%
1 Month
14.08%
increased by 1.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0311 | 13.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0114 | 4.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8973 | 451.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1414 | 23.66*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices