V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
11.93%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
12.33%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
13.62%
increased by 1.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0311 | 13.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0114 | 4.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8973 | 451.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1414 | 23.66*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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