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EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

15.92%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

16.08%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Month

16.61%

increased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0308
3.43***
αARCH0.0115
1.14
βGARCH0.8975
113.23***
γleverage0.1410
5.90***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0308
3.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0115
1.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8975
113.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1410
5.90***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days