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Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

17.58%

increased by 4.58%

1 Week

18.00%

increased by 5.00%

1 Month

19.38%

increased by 6.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 72% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 72% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0577
5.71***
αARCH0.1092
6.02***
βGARCH0.8293
55.56***
γleverage0.0783
2.55**

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0577
5.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1092
6.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8293
55.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0783
2.55**

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days