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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

14.34%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

15.01%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

17.10%

increased by 2.04%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 72% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0578
22.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1088
24.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8296
222.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0784
10.21***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days