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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

19.89%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

20.17%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Month

21.10%

decreased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 71% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0576
22.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1091
24.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8299
223.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0772
10.02***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days