V-Lab
Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
14.34%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
15.01%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
17.10%
increased by 2.04%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 72% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0578 | 22.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1088 | 24.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8296 | 222.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0784 | 10.21*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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