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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

14.82%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

15.37%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

17.13%

increased by 1.44%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0531
5.13***
αARCH0.1428
11.45***
βGARCH0.8347
57.17***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0531
5.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1428
11.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8347
57.17***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days