V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.24%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
14.53%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
15.52%
increased by 1.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0319 | 15.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0894 | 45.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8921 | 373.41*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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