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Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

13.89%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

14.20%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

15.25%

increased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0318
3.84***
αARCH0.0895
11.45***
βGARCH0.8920
93.26***

0.981

Persistence

37d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0318
3.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0895
11.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8920
93.26***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days