V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
13.89%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
14.20%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
15.25%
increased by 0.86%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0318 | 3.84*** |
| αARCH | 0.0895 | 11.45*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8920 | 93.26*** |
0.981
Persistence37d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0318 | 3.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0895 | 11.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8920 | 93.26*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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