Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0612	6.30***
αARCH	0.1121	9.90***
βGARCH	0.8620	74.01***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0612	6.30***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1121	9.90***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8620	74.01***

V-Lab

Nikkei 225 GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Nikkei 225 Analyses