Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

13.38%

increased by 0.25%

1 Week

13.67%

increased by 0.54%

1 Month

14.66%

increased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0282
3.98***
αARCH0.0945
10.61***
βGARCH0.8881
92.76***

0.983

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0282
3.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0945
10.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8881
92.76***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days