V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
13.38%
increased by 0.25%
1 Week
13.67%
increased by 0.54%
1 Month
14.66%
increased by 1.53%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0282 | 3.98*** |
| αARCH | 0.0945 | 10.61*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8881 | 92.76*** |
0.983
Persistence39d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0282 | 3.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0945 | 10.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8881 | 92.76*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
39 days
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