EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
19.05%
increased by 3.09%
1 Week
19.09%
increased by 3.13%
1 Month
19.23%
increased by 3.27%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0100 | 1.28 |
| αARCH | 0.1264 | 5.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9785 | 238.54*** |
| γleverage | -0.1020 | -8.34*** |
0.978
Persistence32d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0100 | 1.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1264 | 5.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9785 | 238.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1020 | -8.34*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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