V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.35%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
12.61%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
13.58%
increased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0102 | 5.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1265 | 22.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9783 | 946.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1024 | -33.32*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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