Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
17.79%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
17.93%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
18.43%
increased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0133 | 1.16 |
| αARCH | 0.1215 | 4.31*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9765 | 179.80*** |
| γleverage | -0.0916 | -7.20*** |
0.976
Persistence29d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0133 | 1.16 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1215 | 4.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9765 | 179.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0916 | -7.20*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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