Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15.86%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
16.07%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
16.83%
increased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0135 | 4.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1213 | 17.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9764 | 718.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0918 | -28.89*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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