MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
17.70%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Week
18.13%
decreased by 1.47%
1 Month
19.57%
decreased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 15% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0331 | 28.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3356 | 62.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9609 | 800.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0241 | -6.54*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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