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MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

16.14%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Week

16.78%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

18.92%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 47-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0575
8.45***
αARCH0.1675
9.89***
βGARCH0.7936
61.88***
γleverage0.0484
1.54

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0575
8.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1675
9.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7936
61.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0484
1.54

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days