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MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

35.11%

increased by 19.54%

1 Week

35.01%

increased by 19.44%

1 Month

34.68%

increased by 19.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0568
8.43***
αARCH0.1657
9.88***
βGARCH0.7958
62.59***
γleverage0.0485
1.56

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0568
8.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1657
9.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7958
62.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0485
1.56

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days