MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
20.25%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
20.32%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Month
20.58%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 1997 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 28% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0480 | 31.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1769 | 35.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7732 | 247.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0487 | 5.97*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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