Skip to main content
V-Lab

MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

21.89%

increased by 4.50%

1 Week

22.02%

increased by 4.63%

1 Month

22.47%

increased by 5.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI NUAM Peru General Index Gross GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.88 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5266
7.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1387
44.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9815
429.91***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.8815
13.66***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days