JSE Securities South African Volatility Index

CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.2712	3.02***
αARCH	0.0791	8.62***
βGARCH	0.9800	146.93***
νDF	7.0311	1.78*

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.2712	3.02***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0791	8.62***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9800	146.93***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	7.0311	1.78*

V-Lab

Dow Jones South Africa Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Dow Jones South Africa Index Analyses