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NASDAQ Composite Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

15.54%

increased by 3.29%

1 Week

15.85%

increased by 3.60%

1 Month

16.81%

increased by 4.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 12:14 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NASDAQ Composite Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 84% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 84% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0486
9.08***
αARCH0.1557
9.25***
βGARCH0.7489
63.59***
γleverage0.1302
4.61***

0.970

Persistence

23d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0486
9.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1557
9.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7489
63.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1302
4.61***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days