V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.01%
increased by 2.85%
1 Week
14.27%
increased by 3.11%
1 Month
15.13%
increased by 3.97%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 13, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 145% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 145% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0327 | 8.15*** |
| αARCH | 0.0934 | 6.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8159 | 82.11*** |
| γleverage | 0.1358 | 5.89*** |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0327 | 8.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0934 | 6.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8159 | 82.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1358 | 5.89*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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