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V-Lab
V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.01%

increased by 2.85%

1 Week

14.27%

increased by 3.11%

1 Month

15.13%

increased by 3.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 145% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 145% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0327
8.15***
αARCH0.0934
6.47***
βGARCH0.8159
82.11***
γleverage0.1358
5.89***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0327
8.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0934
6.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8159
82.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1358
5.89***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days