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Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.18%

increased by 0.39%

1 Week

14.77%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

13.62%

decreased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1993 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 70% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.97 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 70% more than positive returnsδ = 0.97 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0356
10.38***
αARCH0.1667
15.81***
βGARCH0.8166
74.77***
γleverage0.2688
8.04***
δpower0.9663
7.35***

0.949

Persistence

13d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0356
10.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1667
15.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8166
74.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2688
8.04***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9663
7.35***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days