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Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

5.98%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

5.95%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

5.85%

decreased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0051
2.06**
αARCH0.0367
2.85***
βGARCH0.9217
40.85***
γleverage-0.0253
-0.28
δpower2.0093
5.69***

0.959

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0051
2.06**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0367
2.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9217
40.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0253
-0.28
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0093
5.69***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

16 days