V-Lab
Russell 1000 Growth Index Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026
1 Day
14.58%
1 Week
14.22%
1 Month
13.20%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 08:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.08 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0375 | 8.57*** |
| αARCH | 0.1950 | 12.77*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7876 | 53.43*** |
| γleverage | 0.2816 | 5.71*** |
| δpower | 1.0768 | 6.53*** |
0.945
Persistence12d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0375 | 8.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1950 | 12.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7876 | 53.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2816 | 5.71*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.0768 | 6.53*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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