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Russell 1000 Growth Index APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

20.21%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Week

20.23%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Month

20.29%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russell 1000 Growth Index APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 1.26 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocksδ = 1.26 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0263
6.86***
αARCH0.0737
3.48***
βGARCH0.9122
81.57***
γleverage0.8697
2.23**
δpower1.2625
10.45***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0263
6.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0737
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9122
81.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8697
2.23**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2625
10.45***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days