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V-Lab

Russell 1000 Growth Index APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.58%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Week

24.45%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Month

23.98%

decreased by 1.68%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Russell 1000 Growth Index APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 1.25 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0264
27.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0752
14.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9119
326.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8598
9.34***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2468
40.73***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days