V-Lab
Russell 1000 Growth Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
22.84%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
22.74%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Month
22.36%
decreased by 1.36%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 12:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0221 | 17.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0012 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9054 | 335.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1564 | 25.12*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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