V-Lab
Russell 1000 Growth Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.53%
increased by 0.86%
1 Week
24.38%
increased by 0.71%
1 Month
23.83%
increased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0220 | 17.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0011 | 0.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9059 | 336.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1552 | 25.05*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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