V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
12.24%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
12.69%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
14.14%
increased by 1.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0361 | 14.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0147 | 5.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9013 | 462.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1236 | 23.46*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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