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V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

16.35%

increased by 0.25%

1 Week

16.54%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

17.17%

increased by 1.07%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0360
3.69***
αARCH0.0148
1.46
βGARCH0.9013
115.87***
γleverage0.1235
5.86***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0360
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0148
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9013
115.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1235
5.86***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days