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V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

14.52%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

14.81%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

15.78%

increased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0361
14.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0146
5.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9017
462.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1231
23.39***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days