V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
14.52%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
14.81%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
15.78%
increased by 0.83%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0361 | 14.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0146 | 5.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9017 | 462.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1231 | 23.39*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
Other Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices