Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

15.28%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

15.52%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

16.34%

increased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0358
3.70***
αARCH0.0148
1.46
βGARCH0.9017
116.00***
γleverage0.1228
5.85***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0358
3.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0148
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9017
116.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1228
5.85***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days