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FTSE MIB Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

18.43%

increased by 0.24%

1 Week

18.58%

increased by 0.39%

1 Month

19.10%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 11:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE MIB Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 395% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 395% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0301
5.62***
αARCH0.0311
2.36**
βGARCH0.8933
103.16***
γleverage0.1229
5.10***

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0301
5.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0311
2.36**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8933
103.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1229
5.10***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days