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V-Lab

FTSE MIB Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

21.26%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

21.32%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

21.53%

decreased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 04:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE MIB Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0304
22.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0311
9.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8926
409.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1244
20.51***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days