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V-Lab

FTSE MIB Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

14.12%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

14.04%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Month

14.09%

decreased by 0.77%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 04:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE MIB Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8085
54.28***
γleverage0.1916
8.19***
λ₁tau intercept0.0154
2.22**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0937
3.81***
λ₃tau persistence0.8989
34.49***

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8085
54.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1916
8.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0154
2.22**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0937
3.81***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8989
34.49***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days