Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, April 14th, 2026
1 Day
100.28%
increased by 68.93%
1 Week
100.28%
increased by 68.93%
1 Month
100.28%
increased by 68.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.1905 | 1,905,070.00 | |
| -0.3810 | -3,809,940.00 | |
| 1.7552 | 17,552,020.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
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