V-Lab
Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
12.86%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Week
13.43%
increased by 0.35%
1 Month
14.72%
increased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8491 | 199.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1656 | 35.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0081 | 2.49** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0272 | 2.38** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9675 | 69.54*** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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