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Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.16%

increased by 1.04%

1 Week

15.20%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

15.44%

increased by 1.32%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8498
60.41***
γleverage0.1648
10.42***
λ₁tau intercept0.0081
1.27
λ₂forecast adj.0.0272
1.68*
λ₃tau persistence0.9675
47.41***

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8498
60.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1648
10.42***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0081
1.27
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0272
1.68*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9675
47.41***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days