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V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

12.86%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

13.43%

increased by 0.35%

1 Month

14.72%

increased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8491
199.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1656
35.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0081
2.49**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0272
2.38**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9675
69.54***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days