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V-Lab
V-Lab

Swiss Market Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

10.88%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

11.42%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

12.57%

increased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.0104
0.55
βGARCH0.7947
45.51***
γleverage0.2280
12.19***
λ₁tau intercept0.0057
1.03
λ₂forecast adj.0.0200
1.66*
λ₃tau persistence0.9745
56.43***

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0104
0.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7947
45.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2280
12.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0057
1.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0200
1.66*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9745
56.43***

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days