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V-Lab

Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

14.73%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

14.90%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Month

15.43%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 05:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0476
5.69***
αARCH0.0273
1.60
βGARCH0.8352
67.38***
γleverage0.1895
5.04***

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0476
5.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
1.60
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8352
67.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1895
5.04***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days