Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026
1 Day
11.72%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
12.22%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
13.60%
increased by 1.48%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0478 | 5.71*** |
| αARCH | 0.0272 | 1.60 |
| βGARCH | 0.8352 | 67.45*** |
| γleverage | 0.1895 | 5.04*** |
0.957
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0478 | 5.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0272 | 1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8352 | 67.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1895 | 5.04*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
Other Swiss Market Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices