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V-Lab

Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

10.17%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

10.86%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

12.75%

increased by 2.44%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 05:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0478
22.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0271
6.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8349
268.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1907
20.24***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days