V-Lab
Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
10.17%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
10.86%
increased by 0.55%
1 Month
12.75%
increased by 2.44%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 05:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0478 | 22.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0271 | 6.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8349 | 268.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1907 | 20.24*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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