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V-Lab

Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

10.96%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

11.54%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

13.16%

increased by 1.78%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0475
5.68***
αARCH0.0273
1.60
βGARCH0.8353
67.46***
γleverage0.1897
5.04***

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0475
5.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
1.60
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8353
67.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1897
5.04***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days