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V-Lab

Dow Jones Industrial Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

12.21%

increased by 1.40%

1 Week

12.40%

increased by 1.59%

1 Month

13.07%

increased by 2.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dow Jones Industrial Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0216
22.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0094
4.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8937
463.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1538
26.49***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days