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V-Lab

Dow Jones Industrial Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

11.82%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

12.04%

increased by 0.27%

1 Month

12.77%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Industrial Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0217
5.70***
αARCH0.0093
1.05
βGARCH0.8937
115.91***
γleverage0.1538
6.63***

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0217
5.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0093
1.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8937
115.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1538
6.63***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days