Dow Jones Industrial Average Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, March 16th, 2026:14.58% (-0.70%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4493 | 7.01 | |
| 0.1025 | 9.63 | |
| 0.8654 | 72.58 | |
| 0.0739 | 5.56 | |
| -0.1153 | -5.40 | |
| 0.0629 | 4.05 | |
| -0.0360 | -2.59 | |
| 0.0310 | 2.04 | |
| -0.0245 | -2.15 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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