Budapest Stock Exchange Budapest Stock Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 22nd, 2026
1 Day
14.58%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
14.98%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
16.03%
increased by 0.91%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0752 | 2.99 | |
| 0.1435 | 8.18 | |
| 0.7979 | 37.22 | |
| 0.1008 | 2.59 | |
| -0.1786 | -3.40 | |
| 0.1281 | 4.73 | |
| -0.0841 | -4.07 | |
| 0.0460 | 2.61 | |
| -0.0104 | -0.68 | |
| -0.0007 | -0.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1991 to Jun 19, 2026
Jan 1, 1991 to Jun 19, 2026
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