Budapest Stock Exchange Budapest Stock Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 11th, 2026
1 Day
15.15%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
15.48%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
16.35%
increased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0980 | 3.07 | |
| 0.1440 | 8.19 | |
| 0.7978 | 37.21 | |
| 0.1043 | 2.70 | |
| -0.1833 | -3.50 | |
| 0.1293 | 4.74 | |
| -0.0835 | -4.03 | |
| 0.0442 | 2.51 | |
| -0.0083 | -0.54 | |
| -0.0019 | -0.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1991 to May 8, 2026
Jan 1, 1991 to May 8, 2026
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