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V-Lab

Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

17.12%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

17.21%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

17.52%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0961
5.98***
αARCH0.0891
11.24***
βGARCH0.8927
101.27***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0002
0.82

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0961
5.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0891
11.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8927
101.27***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0002
0.82

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days