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Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

13.93%

increased by 1.07%

1 Week

14.26%

increased by 1.40%

1 Month

15.40%

increased by 2.54%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Boerse AG German Stock Index DAX MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1993 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0320
2.34**
αARCH0.1920
12.79***
βGARCH0.7912
75.48***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0320
2.34**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1920
12.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7912
75.48***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days