Tadawul All Share TASI Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Saturday, July 4th, 2026
1 Day
9.95%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
10.53%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
12.41%
increased by 2.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8670 | 3.35 | |
| 0.1714 | 11.41 | |
| 0.8148 | 62.14 | |
| -0.0100 | -2.70 | |
| 0.0127 | 2.68 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 19, 1998 to Jul 2, 2026
Oct 19, 1998 to Jul 2, 2026
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