Tadawul All Share TASI Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 4th, 2026
1 Day
12.20%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
12.95%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
15.37%
increased by 2.41%
Analysis last updated: Monday, May 4, 2026 at 05:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7543 | 3.48 | |
| 0.1705 | 11.11 | |
| 0.8138 | 60.02 | |
| -0.0140 | -2.86 | |
| 0.0221 | 2.51 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 19, 1998 to Apr 30, 2026
Oct 19, 1998 to Apr 30, 2026
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