V-Lab
OMX Stockholm 30 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
13.74%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Week
14.08%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
15.25%
increased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 04:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0301 | 21.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0233 | 9.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9010 | 484.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1217 | 23.47*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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