V-Lab
NASDAQ 100 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.31%
increased by 1.70%
1 Week
25.33%
increased by 1.72%
1 Month
25.42%
increased by 1.81%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0322 | 22.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0280 | 11.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9027 | 497.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1152 | 21.68*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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