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V-Lab

NASDAQ 100 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

25.31%

increased by 1.70%

1 Week

25.33%

increased by 1.72%

1 Month

25.42%

increased by 1.81%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NASDAQ 100 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0322
22.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
11.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9027
497.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1152
21.68***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days