Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

NASDAQ 100 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

40.87%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

40.59%

decreased by 1.88%

1 Month

39.56%

decreased by 2.91%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 01:05 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NASDAQ 100 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0327
5.56***
αARCH0.0275
2.91***
βGARCH0.9020
124.50***
γleverage0.1176
5.55***

0.988

Persistence

59d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0327
5.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0275
2.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9020
124.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1176
5.55***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days