NASDAQ 100 EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
26.08%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Week
26.06%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Month
26.01%
decreased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 253% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0213 | 11.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1667 | 48.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9780 | 1,075.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0930 | -25.76*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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