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V-Lab

CAC 40 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

13.80%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

14.03%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Month

14.89%

increased by 0.61%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 04:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CAC 40 Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0107
2.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1227
29.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9769
583.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1032
-22.99***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days