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V-Lab

MSCI World EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

12.20%

increased by 2.36%

1 Week

12.29%

increased by 2.45%

1 Month

12.59%

increased by 2.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI World EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 337% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 337% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0053
-0.96
αARCH0.1546
11.55***
βGARCH0.9763
228.74***
γleverage-0.0970
-7.54***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0053
-0.96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1546
11.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9763
228.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0970
-7.54***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days