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V-Lab

MSCI World EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

12.32%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

12.40%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

12.69%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI World EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 308% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0049
-3.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1577
45.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9768
937.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0957
-29.29***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days