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V-Lab

Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.93%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

15.21%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

16.26%

increased by 1.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 138% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0163
2.83***
αARCH0.1839
11.15***
βGARCH0.9804
275.87***
γleverage-0.0751
-5.65***

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0163
2.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1839
11.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9804
275.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0751
-5.65***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days