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Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

15.35%

increased by 0.68%

1 Week

15.62%

increased by 0.95%

1 Month

16.63%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 137% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 137% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0163
2.82***
αARCH0.1838
11.15***
βGARCH0.9805
276.67***
γleverage-0.0748
-5.63***

0.981

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0163
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1838
11.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9805
276.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0748
-5.63***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

35 days