V-Lab
Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.93%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
15.21%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
16.26%
increased by 1.15%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 138% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0163 | 2.83*** |
| αARCH | 0.1839 | 11.15*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9804 | 275.87*** |
| γleverage | -0.0751 | -5.65*** |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0163 | 2.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1839 | 11.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9804 | 275.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0751 | -5.65*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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