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V-Lab

Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

15.63%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

15.90%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Month

16.89%

increased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 139% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0165
11.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1841
44.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9804
1,100.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0754
-22.67***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days