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V-Lab

Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026

1 Day

22.58%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

22.98%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

24.09%

increased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 42% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0677
8.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1838
8.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9309
87.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0318
-3.61***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days