Skip to main content
V-Lab

Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026

1 Day

17.28%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

18.30%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

21.24%

increased by 2.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2003 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 112% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1135
15.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1353
11.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7557
76.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1512
8.63***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

20 days