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Dow Jones Utilities Average Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

15.49%

increased by 0.54%

1 Week

15.58%

increased by 0.63%

1 Month

15.85%

increased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 12:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 41% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 41% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0262
9.00***
αARCH0.1564
9.46***
βGARCH0.7890
70.94***
γleverage0.0649
2.65***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0262
9.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1564
9.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7890
70.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0649
2.65***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days