Dow Jones Utilities Average Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
16.79%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
16.81%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Month
16.90%
decreased by 1.08%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 42% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0262 | 35.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1565 | 37.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7886 | 282.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0659 | 10.72*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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