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Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

16.23%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

16.23%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

16.24%

decreased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 124% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
6.59***
αARCH0.0474
4.62***
βGARCH0.9066
119.70***
γleverage0.0588
2.79***

0.983

Persistence

42d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
6.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0474
4.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9066
119.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0588
2.79***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

42 days