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Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

14.59%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

14.64%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

14.85%

decreased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 125% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 125% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
6.58***
αARCH0.0472
4.59***
βGARCH0.9066
119.51***
γleverage0.0592
2.80***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
6.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
4.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9066
119.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0592
2.80***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days