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V-Lab

Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

15.32%

increased by 1.14%

1 Week

15.35%

increased by 1.17%

1 Month

15.48%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 12:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0177
26.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0482
18.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9052
473.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0596
11.17***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days