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V-Lab

Dow Jones Utilities Average MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

16.23%

increased by 1.79%

1 Week

16.38%

increased by 1.94%

1 Month

16.69%

increased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 12:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 199% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0509
15.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7796
84.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1011
20.29***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0079
5.27***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0503
5.22***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9422
88.05***

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days