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Dow Jones Utilities Average MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

15.18%

increased by 0.42%

1 Week

15.26%

increased by 0.50%

1 Month

15.59%

increased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 198% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0507
4.12***
βGARCH0.7796
36.35***
γleverage0.1004
5.64***
λ₁tau intercept0.0079
2.85***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0501
4.85***
λ₃tau persistence0.9423
77.96***

0.881

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0507
4.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7796
36.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1004
5.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0079
2.85***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0501
4.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9423
77.96***

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days