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{name} Model Equation

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	76
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8545	254.84***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1902	47.52***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0213	7.33***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.1024	8.88***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.8757	62.17***

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Russell 1000 Value Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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Volatility Forecast

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