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V-Lab

Russell 1000 Value Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

11.14%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

11.46%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

12.51%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Russell 1000 Value Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8547
255.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1902
47.53***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0205
7.40***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0983
8.94***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8804
65.52***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days