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V-Lab

Russell 1000 Value Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

9.96%

increased by 1.76%

1 Week

10.32%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

11.47%

increased by 3.27%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russell 1000 Value Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 209% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 209% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0234
5.41***
αARCH0.0920
5.37***
βGARCH0.7896
62.02***
γleverage0.1926
6.20***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0234
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0920
5.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7896
62.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1926
6.20***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days