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V-Lab

S&P/ASX 200 Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

10.46%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

10.64%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

11.25%

increased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/ASX 200 AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 182% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0170
29.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0731
21.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8392
315.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1329
22.61***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days