V-Lab
S&P/ASX 200 Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10.46%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
10.64%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
11.25%
increased by 0.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 182% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0170 | 29.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0731 | 21.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8392 | 315.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1329 | 22.61*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equity Indices